Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 4.000038 4.282035 4.588055 4.947452 5.361494 5.827981 6.399863
2025-02-23 3.541535 3.904364 4.320816 4.842453 5.491002 6.289522 7.379914
2025-03-02 3.136924 3.529449 3.998252 4.614270 5.427488 6.506416 8.132997
2025-03-09 2.871581 3.288838 3.805095 4.514168 5.506262 6.927932 9.323478
2025-03-16 2.612749 3.030435 3.560564 4.313109 5.414675 7.096430 10.227051
2025-03-23 2.467089 2.901864 3.469727 4.307225 5.601725 7.744380 12.331707
2025-03-30 2.325110 2.765502 3.354136 4.250204 5.701866 8.289627 14.685798
2025-04-06 2.187124 2.623614 3.217520 4.144527 5.705097 8.670814 17.091154
2025-04-13 2.049149 2.472345 3.055231 3.981024 5.582904 8.776046 18.941199
2025-04-20 1.986062 2.419779 3.029720 4.028316 5.843324 9.803611 25.993822
2025-04-27 1.933080 2.377302 3.014686 4.089953 6.145682 11.103145 39.919921
2025-05-04 1.901679 2.362981 3.039923 4.221961 6.623294 13.227741 90.871762
2025-05-11 1.839525 2.306437 3.005331 4.264367 6.973684 15.532025 907.471344
2025-05-18 1.772027 2.238168 2.947378 4.258975 7.227678 17.964753 NaN
2025-05-25 1.686664 2.138522 2.831916 4.132360 7.158845 19.030760 NaN
2025-06-01 1.624795 2.071255 2.764757 4.091932 7.310430 21.697957 NaN
2025-06-08 1.550459 1.981246 2.654048 3.953397 7.164931 22.490341 NaN
2025-06-15 1.509453 1.940483 2.622924 3.971868 7.476263 27.683067 NaN
2025-06-22 1.463376 1.889411 2.570659 3.940478 7.636789 32.811830 NaN
2025-06-29 1.413218 1.829609 2.499596 3.861525 7.628676 36.620314 NaN
2025-07-06 1.357844 1.759384 2.406719 3.727043 7.407586 36.917079 NaN
2025-07-13 1.334353 1.738619 2.398810 3.776548 7.830341 53.082213 NaN
2025-07-20 1.313854 1.721537 2.396056 3.837335 8.332313 91.106684 NaN